Bank of Canada decision in December?
$172,272 Vol.
No change 97.8%
25 bps decrease 2.1%
Increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$77,912 Vol.
<1%
50+ bps decrease
$77,912 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$33,569 Vol.
2%
25 bps decrease
$33,569 Vol.
2%
No change
$27,770 Vol.
98%
No change
$27,770 Vol.
98%
Increase
$33,021 Vol.
<1%
Increase
$33,021 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's December 2025 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its December 10, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its December 10, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Created At: Nov 7, 2025, 5:26 PM
Volume
$172,272End Date
Dec 10, 2025Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 5:26 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$172,272 Vol.
Bank of Canada decision in December?
No change 97.8%
25 bps decrease 2.1%
Increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$77,912 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$33,569 Vol.
2%
No change
$27,770 Vol.
98%
Increase
$33,021 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$172,272End Date
Dec 10, 2025Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 5:26 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...

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