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3rd richest person on March 31?

Market icon

3rd richest person on March 31?

Jeff Bezos 100.0%

Larry Ellison <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Jensen Huang <1%

Polymarket

$351,778 Vol.

Jeff Bezos 100.0%

Larry Ellison <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Jensen Huang <1%

Polymarket

$351,778 Vol.

Market icon

Larry Ellison

$3,823 Vol.

No

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Bernard Arnault

$3,946 Vol.

No

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Jensen Huang

$8,874 Vol.

No

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Steve Ballmer

$4,222 Vol.

No

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Sergey Brin

$83,262 Vol.

No

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Elon Musk

$8,902 Vol.

No

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Mark Zuckerberg

$6,147 Vol.

No

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Jeff Bezos

$222,508 Vol.

Yes

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Warren Buffett

$3,718 Vol.

No

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Larry Page

$6,376 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$351,778
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$351,778
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd richest person on March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeff Bezos" at 100%, followed by "Larry Ellison" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd richest person on March 31?" has generated $351.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd richest person on March 31?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd richest person on March 31?" is "Jeff Bezos" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Larry Ellison" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd richest person on March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.