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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

Mandela Barnes 36%

Francesca Hong 28.0%

Sara Rodríguez 23%

David Crowley 6.3%

Polymarket

$30,324 Vol.

Mandela Barnes 36%

Francesca Hong 28.0%

Sara Rodríguez 23%

David Crowley 6.3%

Polymarket

$30,324 Vol.

Mandela Barnes

$7,370 Vol.

36%

Francesca Hong

$5,043 Vol.

28%

Sara Rodríguez

$5,605 Vol.

23%

David Crowley

$2,428 Vol.

6%

Kelda Roys

$0 Vol.

2%

Chris Larson

$8,374 Vol.

2%

Joel Brennan

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,504 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$0 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Roper

$0 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent Marquette Law School polls from late February and mid-March place State Rep. Francesca Hong slightly ahead of former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes among decided Democratic primary voters for Wisconsin governor, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez third and 43–65% undecided amid low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primary. Traders nonetheless price Barnes highest at 35.5% due to his superior statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign, ahead of Hong (28.1%) and Rodriguez (23%), in a fragmented field lacking a clear front-runner. The tight contest reflects high undecided rates and split support; endorsements from party leaders or unions, fundraising momentum, or strong showings in upcoming forums could consolidate backing and widen leads.

Recent Marquette Law School polls from late February and mid-March place State Rep. Francesca Hong slightly ahead of former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes among decided Democratic primary voters for Wisconsin governor, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez third and 43–65% undecided amid low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primary. Traders nonetheless price Barnes highest at 35.5% due to his superior statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign, ahead of Hong (28.1%) and Rodriguez (23%), in a fragmented field lacking a clear front-runner. The tight contest reflects high undecided rates and split support; endorsements from party leaders or unions, fundraising momentum, or strong showings in upcoming forums could consolidate backing and widen leads.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent Marquette Law School polls from late February and mid-March place State Rep. Francesca Hong slightly ahead of former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes among decided Democratic primary voters for Wisconsin governor, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez third and 43–65% undecided amid low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primary. Traders nonetheless price Barnes highest at 35.5% due to his superior statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign, ahead of Hong (28.1%) and Rodriguez (23%), in a fragmented field lacking a clear front-runner. The tight contest reflects high undecided rates and split support; endorsements from party leaders or unions, fundraising momentum, or strong showings in upcoming forums could consolidate backing and widen leads.

Recent Marquette Law School polls from late February and mid-March place State Rep. Francesca Hong slightly ahead of former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes among decided Democratic primary voters for Wisconsin governor, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez third and 43–65% undecided amid low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primary. Traders nonetheless price Barnes highest at 35.5% due to his superior statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign, ahead of Hong (28.1%) and Rodriguez (23%), in a fragmented field lacking a clear front-runner. The tight contest reflects high undecided rates and split support; endorsements from party leaders or unions, fundraising momentum, or strong showings in upcoming forums could consolidate backing and widen leads.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mandela Barnes" con 36%, seguido de "Francesca Hong" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $30.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "Mandela Barnes" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francesca Hong" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.