President Trump's recent Truth Social posts, including warnings on March 26 about retaliating "twenty times harder" against Iran for any Strait of Hormuz oil disruptions alongside notes on productive US-Iran talks and allied warships deploying, underscore escalating tensions driving trader focus on foreign policy rhetoric. This follows postponed strikes on Iranian facilities and cabinet discussions, positioning phrases like those tied to Iranian leadership or economic penalties as likely amid his pattern of daily commentary. Upcoming events include a March 29 departure from Palm Beach, potential radio interviews such as with Brian Kilmeade, and press rotations through the week ending April 5, when markets resolve based on verified transcripts or social media mentions. Domestic protests like No Kings rallies add backdrop, though geopolitical catalysts dominate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$470,691 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
15%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
8%
Ethanol
10%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
28%
Khamenei
9%
Chuck Norris
1%
$470,691 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,255 Vol.
15%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,291 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,532 Vol.
8%
Ethanol
$10,907 Vol.
10%
Embargo
$8,442 Vol.
14%
Finish the Job
$3,548 Vol.
28%
Khamenei
$52,572 Vol.
9%
Chuck Norris
$7,601 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts, including warnings on March 26 about retaliating "twenty times harder" against Iran for any Strait of Hormuz oil disruptions alongside notes on productive US-Iran talks and allied warships deploying, underscore escalating tensions driving trader focus on foreign policy rhetoric. This follows postponed strikes on Iranian facilities and cabinet discussions, positioning phrases like those tied to Iranian leadership or economic penalties as likely amid his pattern of daily commentary. Upcoming events include a March 29 departure from Palm Beach, potential radio interviews such as with Brian Kilmeade, and press rotations through the week ending April 5, when markets resolve based on verified transcripts or social media mentions. Domestic protests like No Kings rallies add backdrop, though geopolitical catalysts dominate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$470,691Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts, including warnings on March 26 about retaliating "twenty times harder" against Iran for any Strait of Hormuz oil disruptions alongside notes on productive US-Iran talks and allied warships deploying, underscore escalating tensions driving trader focus on foreign policy rhetoric. This follows postponed strikes on Iranian facilities and cabinet discussions, positioning phrases like those tied to Iranian leadership or economic penalties as likely amid his pattern of daily commentary. Upcoming events include a March 29 departure from Palm Beach, potential radio interviews such as with Brian Kilmeade, and press rotations through the week ending April 5, when markets resolve based on verified transcripts or social media mentions. Domestic protests like No Kings rallies add backdrop, though geopolitical catalysts dominate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$470,691Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
President Trump's recent Truth Social posts, including warnings on March 26 about retaliating "twenty times harder" against Iran for any Strait of Hormuz oil disruptions alongside notes on productive US-Iran talks and allied warships deploying, underscore escalating tensions driving trader focus on foreign policy rhetoric. This follows postponed strikes on Iranian facilities and cabinet discussions, positioning phrases like those tied to Iranian leadership or economic penalties as likely amid his pattern of daily commentary. Upcoming events include a March 29 departure from Palm Beach, potential radio interviews such as with Brian Kilmeade, and press rotations through the week ending April 5, when markets resolve based on verified transcripts or social media mentions. Domestic protests like No Kings rallies add backdrop, though geopolitical catalysts dominate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes