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¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

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¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

$500,858 Vol.

31 mar 2026
Polymarket

$500,858 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre

$8,656 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following U.S. military intervention in January 2026 that captured Nicolás Maduro, acting President Delcy Rodríguez leads Venezuela's interim government amid calls for a democratic transition. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated on April 1 that free elections are essential post-transition phase, coinciding with sanctions relief on Rodríguez and the U.S. embassy reopening in Caracas on March 30, boosting diplomatic momentum. Opposition leader María Corina Machado, preparing her return, estimates 40 weeks needed for fair polls by the National Electoral Council (CNE), while National Assembly head Jorge Rodríguez prioritized stability in February without a timeline. No presidential election date has been officially scheduled, with constitutional rules on permanent presidential absence potentially triggering a 30-day call window; traders watch Assembly sessions and CNE announcements for catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$500,858
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following U.S. military intervention in January 2026 that captured Nicolás Maduro, acting President Delcy Rodríguez leads Venezuela's interim government amid calls for a democratic transition. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated on April 1 that free elections are essential post-transition phase, coinciding with sanctions relief on Rodríguez and the U.S. embassy reopening in Caracas on March 30, boosting diplomatic momentum. Opposition leader María Corina Machado, preparing her return, estimates 40 weeks needed for fair polls by the National Electoral Council (CNE), while National Assembly head Jorge Rodríguez prioritized stability in February without a timeline. No presidential election date has been officially scheduled, with constitutional rules on permanent presidential absence potentially triggering a 30-day call window; traders watch Assembly sessions and CNE announcements for catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$500,858
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 45%, seguido de "31 de enero" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" ha generado $500.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de enero" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.