President Trump's March 27 statement at a Miami investment forum—"Cuba's next"—has intensified speculation following U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and an oil blockade severing Cuba's Venezuelan fuel supplies, triggering nationwide blackouts, protests, and shortages since mid-March. Havana responded with civilian military drills and warnings of readiness against potential aggression, while a Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels approaches amid threats of retaliation if U.S. forces intercept it. A top U.S. general denied invasion preparations, and Democratic lawmakers introduced legislation to bar funding for military action. These developments, including the tanker's transit and congressional pushback, underpin trader consensus on escalation risks ahead of year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Ataque de EEUU a Cuba por...?
¿Ataque de EEUU a Cuba por...?
$2,787,701 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 de marzo
1%
31 de diciembre
37%
$2,787,701 Vol.
31 de marzo
$1,482,498 Vol.
1%
31 de diciembre
$770,726 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Trump's March 27 statement at a Miami investment forum—"Cuba's next"—has intensified speculation following U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and an oil blockade severing Cuba's Venezuelan fuel supplies, triggering nationwide blackouts, protests, and shortages since mid-March. Havana responded with civilian military drills and warnings of readiness against potential aggression, while a Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels approaches amid threats of retaliation if U.S. forces intercept it. A top U.S. general denied invasion preparations, and Democratic lawmakers introduced legislation to bar funding for military action. These developments, including the tanker's transit and congressional pushback, underpin trader consensus on escalation risks ahead of year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volumen
$2,787,701Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Trump's March 27 statement at a Miami investment forum—"Cuba's next"—has intensified speculation following U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and an oil blockade severing Cuba's Venezuelan fuel supplies, triggering nationwide blackouts, protests, and shortages since mid-March. Havana responded with civilian military drills and warnings of readiness against potential aggression, while a Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels approaches amid threats of retaliation if U.S. forces intercept it. A top U.S. general denied invasion preparations, and Democratic lawmakers introduced legislation to bar funding for military action. These developments, including the tanker's transit and congressional pushback, underpin trader consensus on escalation risks ahead of year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$2,787,701Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 27 statement at a Miami investment forum—"Cuba's next"—has intensified speculation following U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and an oil blockade severing Cuba's Venezuelan fuel supplies, triggering nationwide blackouts, protests, and shortages since mid-March. Havana responded with civilian military drills and warnings of readiness against potential aggression, while a Russian oil tanker carrying 730,000 barrels approaches amid threats of retaliation if U.S. forces intercept it. A top U.S. general denied invasion preparations, and Democratic lawmakers introduced legislation to bar funding for military action. These developments, including the tanker's transit and congressional pushback, underpin trader consensus on escalation risks ahead of year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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