Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, after topping the March 3 first-round vote but falling short of a majority in the open seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. His edge stems from securing the most votes initially, recent endorsements from eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith and Ryan Zink, and internal campaign polling highlighting momentum in this solidly Republican West Texas district. Abraham Enriquez, at 7%, advances as the Trump-aligned challenger focusing on national issues, while others linger below 3% post-elimination, reflecting traders' assessment of Sell's stronger path amid low turnout risks and local priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19
Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-19
Tom Sell 85.9%
Abraham Enriquez 6.9%
Matthew Smith 2.4%
Ryan Zink 2.2%
$51,947 Vol.
$51,947 Vol.
Tom Sell
86%
Abraham Enriquez
7%
Matthew Smith
2%
Ryan Zink
2%
Donald May
1%
Jason Corley
1%
James Barbee
1%
Tom Sell 85.9%
Abraham Enriquez 6.9%
Matthew Smith 2.4%
Ryan Zink 2.2%
$51,947 Vol.
$51,947 Vol.
Tom Sell
86%
Abraham Enriquez
7%
Matthew Smith
2%
Ryan Zink
2%
Donald May
1%
Jason Corley
1%
James Barbee
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, after topping the March 3 first-round vote but falling short of a majority in the open seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. His edge stems from securing the most votes initially, recent endorsements from eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith and Ryan Zink, and internal campaign polling highlighting momentum in this solidly Republican West Texas district. Abraham Enriquez, at 7%, advances as the Trump-aligned challenger focusing on national issues, while others linger below 3% post-elimination, reflecting traders' assessment of Sell's stronger path amid low turnout risks and local priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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