AfD's commanding lead in recent opinion polls, including an INSA survey from March 24-25 showing 38% support versus CDU's 25%, drives trader consensus pricing the party at 89% to win the most seats in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl. The right-wing Alternative for Germany has held 38-40% consistently since late 2025 amid the CDU-led coalition's struggles under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, who succeeded Reiner Haseloff in January. Smaller parties like SPD, Die Linke, BSW, FDP, and Greens trail far behind at 3-13%, with seat projections giving AfD around 36 of 87. CDU's incompatibility pledge against AfD underscores coalition challenges post-election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 89%
CDU 9.3%
SPD <1%
La Izquierda <1%
$519,257 Vol.
$519,257 Vol.

AfD
89%

CDU
9%

SPD
1%

La Izquierda
<1%

BSW
<1%

FDP
<1%

Los Verdes
<1%
AfD 89%
CDU 9.3%
SPD <1%
La Izquierda <1%
$519,257 Vol.
$519,257 Vol.

AfD
89%

CDU
9%

SPD
1%

La Izquierda
<1%

BSW
<1%

FDP
<1%

Los Verdes
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD's commanding lead in recent opinion polls, including an INSA survey from March 24-25 showing 38% support versus CDU's 25%, drives trader consensus pricing the party at 89% to win the most seats in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl. The right-wing Alternative for Germany has held 38-40% consistently since late 2025 amid the CDU-led coalition's struggles under new Minister-President Sven Schulze, who succeeded Reiner Haseloff in January. Smaller parties like SPD, Die Linke, BSW, FDP, and Greens trail far behind at 3-13%, with seat projections giving AfD around 36 of 87. CDU's incompatibility pledge against AfD underscores coalition challenges post-election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes