Market icon

Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Diputados de Perú

Market icon

Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Diputados de Perú

FP 37%

RP 25%

JP 24.6%

APP 4.6%

Polymarket

$26,852 Vol.

FP 37%

RP 25%

JP 24.6%

APP 4.6%

Polymarket

$26,852 Vol.

Market icon

FP

$3,315 Vol.

37%

Market icon

PL

$679 Vol.

<1%

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AP

$7,264 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

APP

$2,096 Vol.

5%

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AvP

$588 Vol.

<1%

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RP

$2,008 Vol.

25%

Market icon

SP

$2,478 Vol.

3%

Market icon

PP

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

JP

$7,234 Vol.

25%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Diputados de Perú" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "FP" con 37%, seguido de "RP" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Diputados de Perú" ha generado $26.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Diputados de Perú", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Diputados de Perú" es "FP" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "RP" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Diputados de Perú" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.