Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoElecciones a la alcaldía de París
Elecciones a la alcaldía de París
Emmanuel Grégoire 100.0%
Rachida Dati <1%
Pierre-Yves Bournazel <1%
David Belliard <1%
$6 Vol.
$6 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Rachida Dati
No
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
No
David Belliard
No
Sophia Chikirou
No
Thierry Mariani
No
Título del ítem del grupo: Sarah Knafo
No
Emmanuel Grégoire
Sí
Emmanuel Grégoire 100.0%
Rachida Dati <1%
Pierre-Yves Bournazel <1%
David Belliard <1%
$6 Vol.
$6 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Rachida Dati
$0 Vol.
No
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
$0 Vol.
No
David Belliard
$0 Vol.
No
Sophia Chikirou
$0 Vol.
No
Thierry Mariani
$0 Vol.
No
Título del ítem del grupo: Sarah Knafo
$0 Vol.
No
Emmanuel Grégoire
$0 Vol.
Sí
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ET
Volumen
$6Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$6Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes