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Política·Primarias

PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Sharif Street 39%

Chris Rabb 34.5%

Ala Stanford 24.4%

Morgan Cephas 3.1%

Polymarket

$10,736 Vol.

Sharif Street 39%

Chris Rabb 34.5%

Ala Stanford 24.4%

Morgan Cephas 3.1%

Polymarket

$10,736 Vol.

Sharif Street

$3,966 Vol.

39%

Chris Rabb

$1,825 Vol.

35%

Ala Stanford

$1,620 Vol.

24%

Morgan Cephas

$0 Vol.

3%

Robin Toldens

$0 Vol.

3%

David Oxman

$0 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Cáceres

$3,326 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong establishment support from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, labor unions like Steamfitters Local 420 and Plumbers Local 690, Black Clergy, and former Gov. Ed Rendell. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 31.8%, buoyed by recent progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and Sunrise Movement in mid-March, consolidating left-wing backing in this deep-blue district. State Rep. Ala Stanford holds 24.8%, aided by top ballot position drawn March 18 and endorsements from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and ex-Mayor Michael Nutter, plus solid fundraising. State Rep. Morgan Cephas's March 27 withdrawal narrows the field to six viable contenders without endorsement, heightening consolidation risks; a WHYY debate on April 29 could tip momentum among undecided voters in West and North Philadelphia.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,736
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong establishment support from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, labor unions like Steamfitters Local 420 and Plumbers Local 690, Black Clergy, and former Gov. Ed Rendell. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 31.8%, buoyed by recent progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and Sunrise Movement in mid-March, consolidating left-wing backing in this deep-blue district. State Rep. Ala Stanford holds 24.8%, aided by top ballot position drawn March 18 and endorsements from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and ex-Mayor Michael Nutter, plus solid fundraising. State Rep. Morgan Cephas's March 27 withdrawal narrows the field to six viable contenders without endorsement, heightening consolidation risks; a WHYY debate on April 29 could tip momentum among undecided voters in West and North Philadelphia.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,736
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sharif Street" con 39%, seguido de "Chris Rabb" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $10.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Sharif Street" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chris Rabb" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.