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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oklahoma

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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oklahoma

Genter Drummond 40%

Mike Mazzei 36.5%

Charles McCall 14%

Chip Keating 8.5%

Polymarket

$244,997 Vol.

Genter Drummond 40%

Mike Mazzei 36.5%

Charles McCall 14%

Chip Keating 8.5%

Polymarket

$244,997 Vol.

Genter Drummond

$112,370 Vol.

40%

Mike Mazzei

$2,677 Vol.

33%

Charles McCall

$111,647 Vol.

14%

Chip Keating

$2,290 Vol.

9%

Ryan Walters

$5,125 Vol.

1%

Jake Merrick

$3,228 Vol.

<1%

Matt Pinnell

$6,253 Vol.

<1%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes

$1,407 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the closely contested Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary set for June 16, trader consensus gives Attorney General Gentner Drummond a narrow edge at 40% implied probability over former State Sen. Mike Mazzei at 36%, reflecting recent polls like the mid-March survey showing Drummond leading but not decisively amid GOP ideological tensions. Drummond benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $4 million raised without self-loans—and name recognition from high-profile AG actions, yet faces criticism from conservative voters over past pro-integration immigration comments recirculated online. Mazzei has closed the gap through aggressive self-funding (nearly $3 million loaned), recent campaign stops, and endorsements of bills like SB-1633 barring in-state tuition for non-citizens, appealing to tax-cut and border security priorities. A likely runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%, with new polls, endorsements, or ad barrages from self-funded war chests poised to tip the balance ahead of April filing deadlines.

In the closely contested Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary set for June 16, trader consensus gives Attorney General Gentner Drummond a narrow edge at 40% implied probability over former State Sen. Mike Mazzei at 36%, reflecting recent polls like the mid-March survey showing Drummond leading but not decisively amid GOP ideological tensions. Drummond benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $4 million raised without self-loans—and name recognition from high-profile AG actions, yet faces criticism from conservative voters over past pro-integration immigration comments recirculated online. Mazzei has closed the gap through aggressive self-funding (nearly $3 million loaned), recent campaign stops, and endorsements of bills like SB-1633 barring in-state tuition for non-citizens, appealing to tax-cut and border security priorities. A likely runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%, with new polls, endorsements, or ad barrages from self-funded war chests poised to tip the balance ahead of April filing deadlines.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the closely contested Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary set for June 16, trader consensus gives Attorney General Gentner Drummond a narrow edge at 40% implied probability over former State Sen. Mike Mazzei at 36%, reflecting recent polls like the mid-March survey showing Drummond leading but not decisively amid GOP ideological tensions. Drummond benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $4 million raised without self-loans—and name recognition from high-profile AG actions, yet faces criticism from conservative voters over past pro-integration immigration comments recirculated online. Mazzei has closed the gap through aggressive self-funding (nearly $3 million loaned), recent campaign stops, and endorsements of bills like SB-1633 barring in-state tuition for non-citizens, appealing to tax-cut and border security priorities. A likely runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%, with new polls, endorsements, or ad barrages from self-funded war chests poised to tip the balance ahead of April filing deadlines.

In the closely contested Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary set for June 16, trader consensus gives Attorney General Gentner Drummond a narrow edge at 40% implied probability over former State Sen. Mike Mazzei at 36%, reflecting recent polls like the mid-March survey showing Drummond leading but not decisively amid GOP ideological tensions. Drummond benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $4 million raised without self-loans—and name recognition from high-profile AG actions, yet faces criticism from conservative voters over past pro-integration immigration comments recirculated online. Mazzei has closed the gap through aggressive self-funding (nearly $3 million loaned), recent campaign stops, and endorsements of bills like SB-1633 barring in-state tuition for non-citizens, appealing to tax-cut and border security priorities. A likely runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%, with new polls, endorsements, or ad barrages from self-funded war chests poised to tip the balance ahead of April filing deadlines.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oklahoma" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Genter Drummond" con 40%, seguido de "Mike Mazzei" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oklahoma" ha generado $245K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oklahoma", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oklahoma" es "Genter Drummond" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mike Mazzei" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oklahoma" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.