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Política·Elecciones Globales

Next Prime Minister of Ireland

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Globales

Next Prime Minister of Ireland

Micheál Martin 100.0%

Conor McGregor <1%

Simon Harris <1%

Mary Lou McDonald <1%

Polymarket

$13,618,947 Vol.

Micheál Martin 100.0%

Conor McGregor <1%

Simon Harris <1%

Mary Lou McDonald <1%

Polymarket

$13,618,947 Vol.

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Conor McGregor

$9,363,172 Vol.

No

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Simon Harris

$174,564 Vol.

No

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Micheál Martin

$995,015 Vol.

Yes

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Mary Lou McDonald

$222,968 Vol.

No

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Jack Chambers

$660,731 Vol.

No

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Pearse Doherty

$154,086 Vol.

No

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Holly Cairns

$301,481 Vol.

No

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Roderic O'Gorman

$155,020 Vol.

No

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Helen McEntee

$327,444 Vol.

No

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Jim O'Callaghan

$1,264,467 Vol.

No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micheal Martin is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mary Lou McDonald is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Chambers is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pearse Doherty is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Cairns is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Helen McEntee is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim O'Callaghan is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$13,618,947
Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2024, 12:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micheal Martin is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mary Lou McDonald is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Chambers is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pearse Doherty is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Cairns is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Helen McEntee is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim O'Callaghan is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$13,618,947
Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2024, 12:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Prime Minister of Ireland" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Micheál Martin" con 100%, seguido de "Conor McGregor" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Prime Minister of Ireland" ha generado $13.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Prime Minister of Ireland", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Prime Minister of Ireland" es "Micheál Martin" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Conor McGregor" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Prime Minister of Ireland" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.