Market icon
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

Market icon
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.3%

Ebba Busch 2.0%

Polymarket

$1,671,087 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.3%

Ebba Busch 2.0%

Polymarket

$1,671,087 Vol.

Market icon

Magdalena Andersson

$41,534 Vol.

59%

Market icon

Ulf Kristersson

$33,641 Vol.

33%

Market icon

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,270,507 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Ebba Busch

$260,951 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Amanda Lind

$9,784 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Nooshi Dadgostar

$9,257 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Anna-Karin Hatt

$9,857 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Simona Mohamsson

$14,536 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Daniel Helldén

$10,147 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$10,870 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls through late March 2026, including Demoskop and Ipsos surveys, show the centre-left Red-Greens bloc—led by Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats at around 33%—projected to secure 182–198 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag ahead of the September 13 general election, positioning her as trader consensus favorite at 58.5% implied probability for next Prime Minister. Ulf Kristersson's Tidö parties trail with 151–167 seats despite Moderates' steady 17–18% support, bolstered slightly by Liberal Party's surge to 4.5% following their March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to solidify right-wing cooperation. Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch lag due to their parties' secondary coalition roles. Coalition negotiations will prove pivotal post-election.

Recent opinion polls through late March 2026, including Demoskop and Ipsos surveys, show the centre-left Red-Greens bloc—led by Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats at around 33%—projected to secure 182–198 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag ahead of the September 13 general election, positioning her as trader consensus favorite at 58.5% implied probability for next Prime Minister. Ulf Kristersson's Tidö parties trail with 151–167 seats despite Moderates' steady 17–18% support, bolstered slightly by Liberal Party's surge to 4.5% following their March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to solidify right-wing cooperation. Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch lag due to their parties' secondary coalition roles. Coalition negotiations will prove pivotal post-election.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls through late March 2026, including Demoskop and Ipsos surveys, show the centre-left Red-Greens bloc—led by Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats at around 33%—projected to secure 182–198 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag ahead of the September 13 general election, positioning her as trader consensus favorite at 58.5% implied probability for next Prime Minister. Ulf Kristersson's Tidö parties trail with 151–167 seats despite Moderates' steady 17–18% support, bolstered slightly by Liberal Party's surge to 4.5% following their March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to solidify right-wing cooperation. Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch lag due to their parties' secondary coalition roles. Coalition negotiations will prove pivotal post-election.

Recent opinion polls through late March 2026, including Demoskop and Ipsos surveys, show the centre-left Red-Greens bloc—led by Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats at around 33%—projected to secure 182–198 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag ahead of the September 13 general election, positioning her as trader consensus favorite at 58.5% implied probability for next Prime Minister. Ulf Kristersson's Tidö parties trail with 151–167 seats despite Moderates' steady 17–18% support, bolstered slightly by Liberal Party's surge to 4.5% following their March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to solidify right-wing cooperation. Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch lag due to their parties' secondary coalition roles. Coalition negotiations will prove pivotal post-election.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Magdalena Andersson" con 59%, seguido de "Ulf Kristersson" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" ha generado $1.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es "Magdalena Andersson" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ulf Kristersson" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.