The open NE-02 House seat, following Rep. Don Bacon's 2025 retirement announcement, has shifted trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 81%, reflecting recent Public Policy Polling surveys showing Democratic candidates leading general election matchups by 5-7 points against presumed Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member. State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads a crowded Democratic primary field by wide margins in internal polls, bolstering party strength ahead of the May 12 primaries, while Harding secured key GOP endorsements after Brett Lindstrom's January withdrawal. The Omaha-area district, which backed Kamala Harris in 2024 despite Bacon's wins, aligns with national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats in early 2026 surveys, underscoring midterm out-party dynamics in this battleground race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNE-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NE-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
81%
Partido Republicano
16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
81%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NE-02 House seat, following Rep. Don Bacon's 2025 retirement announcement, has shifted trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 81%, reflecting recent Public Policy Polling surveys showing Democratic candidates leading general election matchups by 5-7 points against presumed Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member. State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads a crowded Democratic primary field by wide margins in internal polls, bolstering party strength ahead of the May 12 primaries, while Harding secured key GOP endorsements after Brett Lindstrom's January withdrawal. The Omaha-area district, which backed Kamala Harris in 2024 despite Bacon's wins, aligns with national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats in early 2026 surveys, underscoring midterm out-party dynamics in this battleground race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NE-02 House seat, following Rep. Don Bacon's 2025 retirement announcement, has shifted trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 81%, reflecting recent Public Policy Polling surveys showing Democratic candidates leading general election matchups by 5-7 points against presumed Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member. State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads a crowded Democratic primary field by wide margins in internal polls, bolstering party strength ahead of the May 12 primaries, while Harding secured key GOP endorsements after Brett Lindstrom's January withdrawal. The Omaha-area district, which backed Kamala Harris in 2024 despite Bacon's wins, aligns with national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats in early 2026 surveys, underscoring midterm out-party dynamics in this battleground race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open NE-02 House seat, following Rep. Don Bacon's 2025 retirement announcement, has shifted trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 81%, reflecting recent Public Policy Polling surveys showing Democratic candidates leading general election matchups by 5-7 points against presumed Republican nominee Brinker Harding, an Omaha City Council member. State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads a crowded Democratic primary field by wide margins in internal polls, bolstering party strength ahead of the May 12 primaries, while Harding secured key GOP endorsements after Brett Lindstrom's January withdrawal. The Omaha-area district, which backed Kamala Harris in 2024 despite Bacon's wins, aligns with national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats in early 2026 surveys, underscoring midterm out-party dynamics in this battleground race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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