Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, filed for reelection in Missouri's 8th Congressional District—a Cook Political Report-rated Solid Republican seat, the seventh-most GOP-leaning nationally with consistent 70-80% GOP margins. The March 31 candidate filing deadline confirmed a lightly contested Republican primary against Johnathon Tune, while Democrats face a fragmented field including Frank Barnitz, Chris Reichard, and Clayton Harbison ahead of the August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep conservative lean, Smith's incumbency advantage, and absence of competitive polling or high-profile challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a GOP primary upset, major scandal, fundraising surge by a Democratic nominee, or national midterm wave dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMO-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,613 Vol.
$25,613 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$25,613 Vol.
$25,613 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,459 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$10,155 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, filed for reelection in Missouri's 8th Congressional District—a Cook Political Report-rated Solid Republican seat, the seventh-most GOP-leaning nationally with consistent 70-80% GOP margins. The March 31 candidate filing deadline confirmed a lightly contested Republican primary against Johnathon Tune, while Democrats face a fragmented field including Frank Barnitz, Chris Reichard, and Clayton Harbison ahead of the August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep conservative lean, Smith's incumbency advantage, and absence of competitive polling or high-profile challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a GOP primary upset, major scandal, fundraising surge by a Democratic nominee, or national midterm wave dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$25,613Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, filed for reelection in Missouri's 8th Congressional District—a Cook Political Report-rated Solid Republican seat, the seventh-most GOP-leaning nationally with consistent 70-80% GOP margins. The March 31 candidate filing deadline confirmed a lightly contested Republican primary against Johnathon Tune, while Democrats face a fragmented field including Frank Barnitz, Chris Reichard, and Clayton Harbison ahead of the August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep conservative lean, Smith's incumbency advantage, and absence of competitive polling or high-profile challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a GOP primary upset, major scandal, fundraising surge by a Democratic nominee, or national midterm wave dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,613Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), Ways and Means Committee chair, filed for reelection in Missouri's 8th Congressional District—a Cook Political Report-rated Solid Republican seat, the seventh-most GOP-leaning nationally with consistent 70-80% GOP margins. The March 31 candidate filing deadline confirmed a lightly contested Republican primary against Johnathon Tune, while Democrats face a fragmented field including Frank Barnitz, Chris Reichard, and Clayton Harbison ahead of the August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republicans reflects the district's deep conservative lean, Smith's incumbency advantage, and absence of competitive polling or high-profile challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a GOP primary upset, major scandal, fundraising surge by a Democratic nominee, or national midterm wave dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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