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Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Dan Koh 74%

Seth Moulton 11.8%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 7.6%

Tram Nguyen 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh 74%

Seth Moulton 11.8%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 7.6%

Tram Nguyen 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Dan Koh

$3,508 Vol.

74%

Seth Moulton

$0 Vol.

12%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$0 Vol.

8%

Tram Nguyen

$0 Vol.

5%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$0 Vol.

4%

Dominick Pangallo

$0 Vol.

3%

John Beccia

$0 Vol.

2%

Rick Jakious

$0 Vol.

2%

Rachel Creemers

$0 Vol.

2%

Mariah Lancaster

$0 Vol.

8%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,341 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Larivee

$1,228 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh commands trader consensus at 74% implied probability in the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by his record-breaking early fundraising exceeding $2 million, high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and former Rep. John Tierney, and becoming the first candidate to secure ballot access with over 2,000 signatures from all 39 district towns, as reported in the past 48 hours. The seat opened after incumbent Seth Moulton launched a U.S. Senate challenge to Ed Markey, leaving his 12% odds tied to lingering name recognition amid a crowded nine-candidate field lacking public polls. Momentum favors Koh's organizational edge ahead of the September 1 primary, though local pushback highlights insider-outsider tensions noted in recent forums.

Dan Koh commands trader consensus at 74% implied probability in the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by his record-breaking early fundraising exceeding $2 million, high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and former Rep. John Tierney, and becoming the first candidate to secure ballot access with over 2,000 signatures from all 39 district towns, as reported in the past 48 hours. The seat opened after incumbent Seth Moulton launched a U.S. Senate challenge to Ed Markey, leaving his 12% odds tied to lingering name recognition amid a crowded nine-candidate field lacking public polls. Momentum favors Koh's organizational edge ahead of the September 1 primary, though local pushback highlights insider-outsider tensions noted in recent forums.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh commands trader consensus at 74% implied probability in the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by his record-breaking early fundraising exceeding $2 million, high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and former Rep. John Tierney, and becoming the first candidate to secure ballot access with over 2,000 signatures from all 39 district towns, as reported in the past 48 hours. The seat opened after incumbent Seth Moulton launched a U.S. Senate challenge to Ed Markey, leaving his 12% odds tied to lingering name recognition amid a crowded nine-candidate field lacking public polls. Momentum favors Koh's organizational edge ahead of the September 1 primary, though local pushback highlights insider-outsider tensions noted in recent forums.

Dan Koh commands trader consensus at 74% implied probability in the open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by his record-breaking early fundraising exceeding $2 million, high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and former Rep. John Tierney, and becoming the first candidate to secure ballot access with over 2,000 signatures from all 39 district towns, as reported in the past 48 hours. The seat opened after incumbent Seth Moulton launched a U.S. Senate challenge to Ed Markey, leaving his 12% odds tied to lingering name recognition amid a crowded nine-candidate field lacking public polls. Momentum favors Koh's organizational edge ahead of the September 1 primary, though local pushback highlights insider-outsider tensions noted in recent forums.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Dan Koh" con 74%, seguido de "Seth Moulton" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Dan Koh" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Seth Moulton" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.