Trader consensus pins 22°C as the most likely highest temperature in Taipei on March 28 at 32% implied probability, propelled by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts indicating mild highs under partly cloudy skies following a weak cold front. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and wind shifts, boosting 26°C or higher to 20.1% if southerly flows enhance diurnal warming, while 21°C (18.5%) and cooler outcomes gain traction from potential northeasterly gusts prolonging overcast conditions. Historical March averages hover near 23°C, but urban heat island effects and jet stream positioning introduce model divergence; monitor CWA's next update for pivotal shifts in trader odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
23°C 19%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
15%
19°C
17%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
32%
23°C
19%
24°C
17%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
21%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
21°C 19%
23°C 19%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
15%
19°C
17%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
32%
23°C
19%
24°C
17%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins 22°C as the most likely highest temperature in Taipei on March 28 at 32% implied probability, propelled by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts indicating mild highs under partly cloudy skies following a weak cold front. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and wind shifts, boosting 26°C or higher to 20.1% if southerly flows enhance diurnal warming, while 21°C (18.5%) and cooler outcomes gain traction from potential northeasterly gusts prolonging overcast conditions. Historical March averages hover near 23°C, but urban heat island effects and jet stream positioning introduce model divergence; monitor CWA's next update for pivotal shifts in trader odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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