With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor below-average totals, positioning <130mm as the leading outcome at 35.5% implied probability against the historical April norm of about 153mm. An amber rainstorm warning on April 17 brought scattered showers but minimal accumulation, extending the dry spell into mid-month. The Observatory's seasonal outlook for April-June projects normal to above-normal precipitation, supporting competitive pricing for 150-160mm (23%) amid potential troughs or fronts in the remaining days. Variability from passing weather systems keeps higher bins like 190mm+ viable but lower at 20.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Hong Kong en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Hong Kong en abril?
<130mm 39%
150-160 mm 23%
140-150 mm 22.4%
190 mm+ 21%
$31,559 Vol.
$31,559 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
35%
130-140 mm
16%
140-150 mm
21%
150-160 mm
23%
160-170mm
7%
190-200 mm
10%
180-190
11%
190 mm+
21%
<130mm 39%
150-160 mm 23%
140-150 mm 22.4%
190 mm+ 21%
$31,559 Vol.
$31,559 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
$14,444 Vol.
35%
130-140 mm
$5,384 Vol.
16%
140-150 mm
$5,966 Vol.
21%
150-160 mm
$3,445 Vol.
23%
160-170mm
$427 Vol.
7%
190-200 mm
$375 Vol.
10%
180-190
$441 Vol.
11%
190 mm+
$1,076 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor below-average totals, positioning <130mm as the leading outcome at 35.5% implied probability against the historical April norm of about 153mm. An amber rainstorm warning on April 17 brought scattered showers but minimal accumulation, extending the dry spell into mid-month. The Observatory's seasonal outlook for April-June projects normal to above-normal precipitation, supporting competitive pricing for 150-160mm (23%) amid potential troughs or fronts in the remaining days. Variability from passing weather systems keeps higher bins like 190mm+ viable but lower at 20.5%.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volumen
$31,559Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor below-average totals, positioning <130mm as the leading outcome at 35.5% implied probability against the historical April norm of about 153mm. An amber rainstorm warning on April 17 brought scattered showers but minimal accumulation, extending the dry spell into mid-month. The Observatory's seasonal outlook for April-June projects normal to above-normal precipitation, supporting competitive pricing for 150-160mm (23%) amid potential troughs or fronts in the remaining days. Variability from passing weather systems keeps higher bins like 190mm+ viable but lower at 20.5%.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,559Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor below-average totals, positioning <130mm as the leading outcome at 35.5% implied probability against the historical April norm of about 153mm. An amber rainstorm warning on April 17 brought scattered showers but minimal accumulation, extending the dry spell into mid-month. The Observatory's seasonal outlook for April-June projects normal to above-normal precipitation, supporting competitive pricing for 150-160mm (23%) amid potential troughs or fronts in the remaining days. Variability from passing weather systems keeps higher bins like 190mm+ viable but lower at 20.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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