Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on March 24 project a high temperature around 55°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 37.5% implied odds for 56°F or higher, 26.5% for 54-55°F, and 24% for 52-53°F as leading outcomes. These align with recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicating a building upper-level ridge over the Midwest, fostering warm air advection above the late-March climatological average of 49°F. Short-term refinements from morning soundings and 12z updates have nudged probabilities warmer, though residual jet stream variability introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating near O'Hare Airport's measurement site.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 24 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 24 de marzo?
56°F o más 45%
54-55°F 27%
52-53°F 24%
50-51°F 5%
37°F o menos
1%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
27%
56°F o más
38%
56°F o más 45%
54-55°F 27%
52-53°F 24%
50-51°F 5%
37°F o menos
1%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
27%
56°F o más
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on March 24 project a high temperature around 55°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 37.5% implied odds for 56°F or higher, 26.5% for 54-55°F, and 24% for 52-53°F as leading outcomes. These align with recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicating a building upper-level ridge over the Midwest, fostering warm air advection above the late-March climatological average of 49°F. Short-term refinements from morning soundings and 12z updates have nudged probabilities warmer, though residual jet stream variability introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating near O'Hare Airport's measurement site.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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