Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 8-9°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), which project daytime highs of 7-10°C amid a persistent cool northerly flow from a low-pressure system over Scandinavia. These models show low spread in the 850 hPa temperature fields, favoring sub-10°C peaks, while GFS runs introduce slight upside variance toward 10-11°C via potential diurnal warming. Historical late-March data at Munich Airport averages 10°C highs but with 30% variability below 8°C during similar jet stream undulations; traders weigh this against 24-hour forecast updates expected today, amplifying uncertainty in the razor-thin 23.5% vs. 22.5% odds split.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 28 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 28 de marzo?
9°C 24%
5°C o menos 21%
8°C 21%
10°C 18%
5°C o menos
21%
6°C
7%
7°C
13%
8°C
27%
9°C
24%
10°C
16%
11°C
11%
12°C
10%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C o más
2%
9°C 24%
5°C o menos 21%
8°C 21%
10°C 18%
5°C o menos
21%
6°C
7%
7°C
13%
8°C
27%
9°C
24%
10°C
16%
11°C
11%
12°C
10%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 8-9°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), which project daytime highs of 7-10°C amid a persistent cool northerly flow from a low-pressure system over Scandinavia. These models show low spread in the 850 hPa temperature fields, favoring sub-10°C peaks, while GFS runs introduce slight upside variance toward 10-11°C via potential diurnal warming. Historical late-March data at Munich Airport averages 10°C highs but with 30% variability below 8°C during similar jet stream undulations; traders weigh this against 24-hour forecast updates expected today, amplifying uncertainty in the razor-thin 23.5% vs. 22.5% odds split.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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