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Política·Primarias

FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Thomas Chalifoux 53%

Justin Story 11%

Marcus Carter 8%

Jorge Malavet 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Thomas Chalifoux 53%

Justin Story 11%

Marcus Carter 8%

Jorge Malavet 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Thomas Chalifoux

$0 Vol.

66%

Justin Story

$0 Vol.

21%

Marcus Carter

$0 Vol.

8%

Jorge Malavet

$0 Vol.

7%

Howard Steven Rance

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux commands 65% trader consensus as the Republican nominee for Florida's 9th Congressional District primary on August 18, driven by his superior self-funding exceeding $2 million reported at the end of 2025 and name recognition from winning the uncontested 2024 GOP primary and mounting a well-financed general election challenge against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Marine veteran Justin Story trails at 20.5% with active campaigning, including a March 11 call to privatize TSA, appealing to voters prioritizing security issues. Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, and Howard Steven Rance lag below 10% each amid limited fundraising visibility and lower profiles in this closed primary, where turnout among GOP base voters will prove decisive ahead of early voting.

Thomas Chalifoux commands 65% trader consensus as the Republican nominee for Florida's 9th Congressional District primary on August 18, driven by his superior self-funding exceeding $2 million reported at the end of 2025 and name recognition from winning the uncontested 2024 GOP primary and mounting a well-financed general election challenge against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Marine veteran Justin Story trails at 20.5% with active campaigning, including a March 11 call to privatize TSA, appealing to voters prioritizing security issues. Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, and Howard Steven Rance lag below 10% each amid limited fundraising visibility and lower profiles in this closed primary, where turnout among GOP base voters will prove decisive ahead of early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux commands 65% trader consensus as the Republican nominee for Florida's 9th Congressional District primary on August 18, driven by his superior self-funding exceeding $2 million reported at the end of 2025 and name recognition from winning the uncontested 2024 GOP primary and mounting a well-financed general election challenge against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Marine veteran Justin Story trails at 20.5% with active campaigning, including a March 11 call to privatize TSA, appealing to voters prioritizing security issues. Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, and Howard Steven Rance lag below 10% each amid limited fundraising visibility and lower profiles in this closed primary, where turnout among GOP base voters will prove decisive ahead of early voting.

Thomas Chalifoux commands 65% trader consensus as the Republican nominee for Florida's 9th Congressional District primary on August 18, driven by his superior self-funding exceeding $2 million reported at the end of 2025 and name recognition from winning the uncontested 2024 GOP primary and mounting a well-financed general election challenge against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Marine veteran Justin Story trails at 20.5% with active campaigning, including a March 11 call to privatize TSA, appealing to voters prioritizing security issues. Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, and Howard Steven Rance lag below 10% each amid limited fundraising visibility and lower profiles in this closed primary, where turnout among GOP base voters will prove decisive ahead of early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Thomas Chalifoux" con 66%, seguido de "Justin Story" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 23, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Thomas Chalifoux" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Justin Story" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.