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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 15.7%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Gillian Sherratt 1.7%

Polymarket

$587,051 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 15.7%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Gillian Sherratt 1.7%

Polymarket

$587,051 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$8,102 Vol.

76%

Janice Boylan

$3,821 Vol.

16%

Gerry Hutch

$400,163 Vol.

4%

Gillian Sherratt

$115,887 Vol.

2%

Malachy Steenson

$10,653 Vol.

1%

John Stephens

$40,766 Vol.

1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$2,415 Vol.

<1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$4,773 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$1,912 Vol.

<1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$1,784 Vol.

<1%

Ray McAdam

$1,731 Vol.

<1%

Janet Horner

$2,004 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, driven by his strong local profile as a newly elected North Inner City representative, early campaign momentum including 23,000 leaflet distributions, and positive door-to-door reception reported in recent weeks. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 15.3% despite her February selection over activist Gillian Sherratt, hampered by the party's weak 2024 general election performance here where she garnered under 4% before elimination. Independent Gerry Hutch sits at 4.3%, limited by controversy over his criminal background despite prior fourth-place finish and expected transfers from conservative Malachy Steenson. Fine Gael's recent Lord Mayor nominee Ray McAdam and others lag amid fragmented fields and no recent polls shifting dynamics.

Trader consensus heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, driven by his strong local profile as a newly elected North Inner City representative, early campaign momentum including 23,000 leaflet distributions, and positive door-to-door reception reported in recent weeks. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 15.3% despite her February selection over activist Gillian Sherratt, hampered by the party's weak 2024 general election performance here where she garnered under 4% before elimination. Independent Gerry Hutch sits at 4.3%, limited by controversy over his criminal background despite prior fourth-place finish and expected transfers from conservative Malachy Steenson. Fine Gael's recent Lord Mayor nominee Ray McAdam and others lag amid fragmented fields and no recent polls shifting dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, driven by his strong local profile as a newly elected North Inner City representative, early campaign momentum including 23,000 leaflet distributions, and positive door-to-door reception reported in recent weeks. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 15.3% despite her February selection over activist Gillian Sherratt, hampered by the party's weak 2024 general election performance here where she garnered under 4% before elimination. Independent Gerry Hutch sits at 4.3%, limited by controversy over his criminal background despite prior fourth-place finish and expected transfers from conservative Malachy Steenson. Fine Gael's recent Lord Mayor nominee Ray McAdam and others lag amid fragmented fields and no recent polls shifting dynamics.

Trader consensus heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 75.5% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, driven by his strong local profile as a newly elected North Inner City representative, early campaign momentum including 23,000 leaflet distributions, and positive door-to-door reception reported in recent weeks. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 15.3% despite her February selection over activist Gillian Sherratt, hampered by the party's weak 2024 general election performance here where she garnered under 4% before elimination. Independent Gerry Hutch sits at 4.3%, limited by controversy over his criminal background despite prior fourth-place finish and expected transfers from conservative Malachy Steenson. Fine Gael's recent Lord Mayor nominee Ray McAdam and others lag amid fragmented fields and no recent polls shifting dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Daniel Ennis" con 76%, seguido de "Janice Boylan" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" ha generado $587.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" es "Daniel Ennis" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Janice Boylan" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.