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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$930,781,720 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$930,781,720 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,396,279 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,056,027 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,748,378 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,598,804 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,797,848 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,420,579 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,412,664 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,577,137 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,677,017 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,009,582 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$10,832,342 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,509,894 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,423,704 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,158,003 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,108,130 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$42,989,067 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,321,602 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,042,533 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,857,317 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,571,609 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,613,329 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,655,625 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,339,877 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,763,251 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,416,151 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,177,895 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$31,992,528 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$32,906,957 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,542,393 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,988,919 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,159,918 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,291,562 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,100,151 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,277,002 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,084,902 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,378,434 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,893,701 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$32,720,972 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,326,884 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,307,524 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,281,312 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,241,862 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,528,354 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,301,836 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his recent book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and high-profile criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, underscoring his executive experience and national fundraising networks. Recent national primary polls show mixed results, with Kamala Harris atop some surveys at 22-31% due to strong Black voter support, while Newsom dominates California polling at 28%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws progressive energy, rising to 12% in New Hampshire, and Jon Ossoff gains from viral anti-Trump Senate speeches. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early endorsements, fundraising totals, and formal announcements post-midterms in this wide-open field.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his recent book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and high-profile criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, underscoring his executive experience and national fundraising networks. Recent national primary polls show mixed results, with Kamala Harris atop some surveys at 22-31% due to strong Black voter support, while Newsom dominates California polling at 28%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws progressive energy, rising to 12% in New Hampshire, and Jon Ossoff gains from viral anti-Trump Senate speeches. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early endorsements, fundraising totals, and formal announcements post-midterms in this wide-open field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his recent book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and high-profile criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, underscoring his executive experience and national fundraising networks. Recent national primary polls show mixed results, with Kamala Harris atop some surveys at 22-31% due to strong Black voter support, while Newsom dominates California polling at 28%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws progressive energy, rising to 12% in New Hampshire, and Jon Ossoff gains from viral anti-Trump Senate speeches. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early endorsements, fundraising totals, and formal announcements post-midterms in this wide-open field.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by his recent book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire and high-profile criticisms of Trump administration policies on gas prices and foreign affairs, underscoring his executive experience and national fundraising networks. Recent national primary polls show mixed results, with Kamala Harris atop some surveys at 22-31% due to strong Black voter support, while Newsom dominates California polling at 28%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws progressive energy, rising to 12% in New Hampshire, and Jon Ossoff gains from viral anti-Trump Senate speeches. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early endorsements, fundraising totals, and formal announcements post-midterms in this wide-open field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $930.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.