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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$955,993,791 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$955,993,791 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,274,463 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,434,162 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,214,318 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$8,861,825 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$6,008,000 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,622,090 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,597,325 Vol.

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,236,794 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$4,708,396 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,740,706 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,553,105 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,822,655 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,315,514 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,713,351 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,672,281 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,964,306 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,180,577 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,392,682 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,478,631 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,238,115 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,945,471 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,870,466 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,109,499 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,205,197 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,765,982 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,474,803 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,325,996 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,539,197 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$33,430,865 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,882,321 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,850,926 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,506,538 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,764,667 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,687,245 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$25,544,133 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,260,719 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,812,184 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,390,602 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,689,719 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,704,195 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,709,085 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,394,409 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,066,582 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$23,182,267 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his recent SXSW remarks hinting at a run if Democrats regain congressional ground and a March popularity surge in national surveys, positioning him as a battle-tested executive with fundraising prowess and anti-Trump credentials from prior special sessions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive energy, youth appeal, and high-profile Munich Security Conference appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 5% reflects Georgia's battleground success. Kamala Harris' post-2024 support has eroded to 4%. In this fragmented field absent an incumbent, consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm outcomes for governors and senators, early Iowa-New Hampshire polling, donor commitments, and party endorsements before primaries begin in 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$955,993,791
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his recent SXSW remarks hinting at a run if Democrats regain congressional ground and a March popularity surge in national surveys, positioning him as a battle-tested executive with fundraising prowess and anti-Trump credentials from prior special sessions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive energy, youth appeal, and high-profile Munich Security Conference appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 5% reflects Georgia's battleground success. Kamala Harris' post-2024 support has eroded to 4%. In this fragmented field absent an incumbent, consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm outcomes for governors and senators, early Iowa-New Hampshire polling, donor commitments, and party endorsements before primaries begin in 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$955,993,791
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $956 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.