Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$957,078,890 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$957,078,890 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$17,444,409 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,448,776 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$6,240,618 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$8,863,852 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$6,012,043 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,624,013 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,613,225 Vol.

3%

Market icon

James Talarico

$4,780,436 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$12,277,251 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$10,775,881 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,581,162 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$4,872,001 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,319,450 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rubén Gallego

$3,714,287 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,674,589 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,970,374 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$14,187,447 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,403,275 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,484,639 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,238,228 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$17,945,546 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,874,733 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$17,115,172 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,209,253 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,775,141 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,481,410 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$25,331,773 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,553,546 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$33,444,587 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$42,889,647 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$38,860,174 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,519,148 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$37,774,823 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,698,192 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$27,703,485 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$25,550,873 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$26,269,698 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$36,825,961 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,401,104 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$33,725,692 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$31,716,613 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$23,198,580 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$39,409,573 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$32,300,726 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors California Governor Gavin Newsom as the Democratic presidential nominee for 2028, reflecting his substantial fundraising war chest exceeding $25 million, national profile from high-visibility criticism of President Trump at international forums, and a commanding lead in a March 2026 POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll of California Democratic primary voters (28% to Kamala Harris's 14%). Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails with progressive base support but faces pushback from party pragmatists wary of electability concerns, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff gains from viral anti-Trump speeches appealing in battleground states. A wide-open field post-2024 persists amid mixed national polls favoring Harris on name recognition; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, further primary polling, endorsements, and early-state performances before the 2028 primaries begin.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$957,078,890
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors California Governor Gavin Newsom as the Democratic presidential nominee for 2028, reflecting his substantial fundraising war chest exceeding $25 million, national profile from high-visibility criticism of President Trump at international forums, and a commanding lead in a March 2026 POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll of California Democratic primary voters (28% to Kamala Harris's 14%). Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails with progressive base support but faces pushback from party pragmatists wary of electability concerns, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff gains from viral anti-Trump speeches appealing in battleground states. A wide-open field post-2024 persists amid mixed national polls favoring Harris on name recognition; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, further primary polling, endorsements, and early-state performances before the 2028 primaries begin.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$957,078,890
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 25%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $957.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.