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Política·Corea Del Sur

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Seúl 2026

Market icon
Política·Corea Del Sur

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Seúl 2026

Chong Won-oh 80%

Oh Se-hoon 15%

Park Ju-min 4.5%

Hong Ihk-pyo <1%

Polymarket

$8,526,184 Vol.

Chong Won-oh 80%

Oh Se-hoon 15%

Park Ju-min 4.5%

Hong Ihk-pyo <1%

Polymarket

$8,526,184 Vol.

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Chong Won-oh

$291,020 Vol.

80%

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Oh Se-hoon

$556,310 Vol.

15%

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Park Ju-min

$379,428 Vol.

4%

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Hong Ihk-pyo

$737,397 Vol.

1%

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Jeon Hyun-heui

$700,528 Vol.

<1%

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Cho Eun-hee

$911,444 Vol.

<1%

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Ahn Cheol-soo

$558,252 Vol.

<1%

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Park Yong-jin

$933,032 Vol.

<1%

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Cho Kuk

$470,453 Vol.

<1%

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Kang Hoon-sik

$335,100 Vol.

<1%

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Na Kyung-won

$779,165 Vol.

<1%

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Han Dong-hoon

$648,369 Vol.

<1%

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Park Hong-keun

$581,961 Vol.

<1%

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Seo Young-kyo

$644,176 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in the Democratic Party of Korea's Seoul mayoral primary, where he advanced alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui on March 24 after topping dues-paying member voting, has solidified trader consensus at 80% implied probability for his general election victory on June 3. The former Seongdong District mayor's strong polling within the party and appeal from successful local governance contrast with incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 14.5% odds, hampered by his ongoing trial over alleged proxy poll payments and initial hesitation in the People Power Party's three-way primary. Park Ju-min trails at 4.3% as a secondary Democratic contender, while others remain marginal amid national momentum favoring the opposition in battleground Seoul. Main primaries loom as the next catalyst.

Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in the Democratic Party of Korea's Seoul mayoral primary, where he advanced alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui on March 24 after topping dues-paying member voting, has solidified trader consensus at 80% implied probability for his general election victory on June 3. The former Seongdong District mayor's strong polling within the party and appeal from successful local governance contrast with incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 14.5% odds, hampered by his ongoing trial over alleged proxy poll payments and initial hesitation in the People Power Party's three-way primary. Park Ju-min trails at 4.3% as a secondary Democratic contender, while others remain marginal amid national momentum favoring the opposition in battleground Seoul. Main primaries loom as the next catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in the Democratic Party of Korea's Seoul mayoral primary, where he advanced alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui on March 24 after topping dues-paying member voting, has solidified trader consensus at 80% implied probability for his general election victory on June 3. The former Seongdong District mayor's strong polling within the party and appeal from successful local governance contrast with incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 14.5% odds, hampered by his ongoing trial over alleged proxy poll payments and initial hesitation in the People Power Party's three-way primary. Park Ju-min trails at 4.3% as a secondary Democratic contender, while others remain marginal amid national momentum favoring the opposition in battleground Seoul. Main primaries loom as the next catalyst.

Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in the Democratic Party of Korea's Seoul mayoral primary, where he advanced alongside Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui on March 24 after topping dues-paying member voting, has solidified trader consensus at 80% implied probability for his general election victory on June 3. The former Seongdong District mayor's strong polling within the party and appeal from successful local governance contrast with incumbent Oh Se-hoon's 14.5% odds, hampered by his ongoing trial over alleged proxy poll payments and initial hesitation in the People Power Party's three-way primary. Park Ju-min trails at 4.3% as a secondary Democratic contender, while others remain marginal amid national momentum favoring the opposition in battleground Seoul. Main primaries loom as the next catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Seúl 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chong Won-oh" con 80%, seguido de "Oh Se-hoon" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Seúl 2026" ha generado $8.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Seúl 2026", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Seúl 2026" es "Chong Won-oh" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Oh Se-hoon" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Seúl 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.