Traders overwhelmingly back a high of 5°C in Toronto on March 20, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast models showing cloudy skies, light winds, and daytime highs stabilizing near 5°C amid persistent cool Arctic air masses. Historical March data from Environment Canada confirms Toronto's average high hovers around 4-6°C, with verified observations rarely exceeding 10°C this late in winter absent a southerly warm front. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align closely, implying near-certainty, though a realistic challenge could arise from an unforeseen ridge breakdown allowing mild Atlantic air advection, potentially pushing temps to 7-9°C as seen in occasional model outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 20. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 20. März?
5°C 100.0%
1°C oder darunter <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$28,295 Vol.
$28,295 Vol.
1°C oder darunter
Nein
2°C
Nein
3°C
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Ja
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C oder höher
Nein
5°C 100.0%
1°C oder darunter <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$28,295 Vol.
$28,295 Vol.
1°C oder darunter
Nein
2°C
Nein
3°C
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Ja
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 16, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back a high of 5°C in Toronto on March 20, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast models showing cloudy skies, light winds, and daytime highs stabilizing near 5°C amid persistent cool Arctic air masses. Historical March data from Environment Canada confirms Toronto's average high hovers around 4-6°C, with verified observations rarely exceeding 10°C this late in winter absent a southerly warm front. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align closely, implying near-certainty, though a realistic challenge could arise from an unforeseen ridge breakdown allowing mild Atlantic air advection, potentially pushing temps to 7-9°C as seen in occasional model outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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