Trader consensus pins NYC's highest temperature on March 22 at 56-57°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high of 56°F under persistent cool northerly flow and light cloud cover. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, reflecting seasonal norms—March averages hover around 52°F historically—with minimal divergence signaling low uncertainty. Supporting data includes recent soundings showing stable boundary layers capping warmth. Realistic challenges include a sudden southerly wind shift or frontal breakdown, potentially boosting highs to 60°F+, though probabilities remain under 1% per model spreads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 22. März?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 22. März?
56-57°F 100.0%
53°F oder darunter <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$524,980 Vol.
$524,980 Vol.
53°F oder darunter
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Ja
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66–67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72°F oder höher
Nein
56-57°F 100.0%
53°F oder darunter <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$524,980 Vol.
$524,980 Vol.
53°F oder darunter
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Ja
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66–67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins NYC's highest temperature on March 22 at 56-57°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high of 56°F under persistent cool northerly flow and light cloud cover. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, reflecting seasonal norms—March averages hover around 52°F historically—with minimal divergence signaling low uncertainty. Supporting data includes recent soundings showing stable boundary layers capping warmth. Realistic challenges include a sudden southerly wind shift or frontal breakdown, potentially boosting highs to 60°F+, though probabilities remain under 1% per model spreads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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