Trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 76-77°F at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 78°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and ample diurnal heating. Recent 12z model runs slightly warmed guidance to 78-82°F, lifting odds for 78-81°F bins to 37.5% combined, while cooler outcomes below 75°F carry low weight absent any cold front. Key variables include morning cloud cover timing, which could cap highs if persistent, soil moisture deficits enhancing warm anomalies, and jet stream positioning; historical March volatility underscores the spread, with baselines around 68°F but recent weeks trending 5-10°F above normal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
78-79°F 17%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
78-79°F 17%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 76-77°F at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 78°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and ample diurnal heating. Recent 12z model runs slightly warmed guidance to 78-82°F, lifting odds for 78-81°F bins to 37.5% combined, while cooler outcomes below 75°F carry low weight absent any cold front. Key variables include morning cloud cover timing, which could cap highs if persistent, soil moisture deficits enhancing warm anomalies, and jet stream positioning; historical March volatility underscores the spread, with baselines around 68°F but recent weeks trending 5-10°F above normal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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