Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models point to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Southern California, driving Los Angeles' projected peak temperature on March 27 toward 74-77°F and concentrating trader probabilities there at over 50% combined. The National Weather Service's latest point forecast calls for 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light onshore winds, but marine layer persistence introduces uncertainty, potentially capping highs by 1-2°F through coastal cooling. Historical March 27 data at LAX averages 72°F with a standard deviation of 4°F, while recent model runs diverge slightly—GFS leaning warmer at 78°F, Euro cooler at 74°F—explaining the tight race between adjacent bins amid low volatility in upper-air patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
82-83°F 17%
71°F or below 15%
71°F or below
15%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
82-83°F 17%
71°F or below 15%
71°F or below
15%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models point to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Southern California, driving Los Angeles' projected peak temperature on March 27 toward 74-77°F and concentrating trader probabilities there at over 50% combined. The National Weather Service's latest point forecast calls for 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light onshore winds, but marine layer persistence introduces uncertainty, potentially capping highs by 1-2°F through coastal cooling. Historical March 27 data at LAX averages 72°F with a standard deviation of 4°F, while recent model runs diverge slightly—GFS leaning warmer at 78°F, Euro cooler at 74°F—explaining the tight race between adjacent bins amid low volatility in upper-air patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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