Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF drive trader consensus toward mild highs of 10–12°C in Paris on March 27, with 11°C leading at 31.5% due to a slight cooling bias in the latest 00Z runs amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Western Europe. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 10–11°C, versus transient southerly winds and clearer skies favoring 12°C; 13°C+ odds remain slim given subdued instability. Historical March averages hover around 12°C, but current neutral ENSO conditions and jet stream positioning introduce modest uncertainty, with final hourly observations resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on March 27?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 27?
11°C 32%
12°C 29%
10°C 21%
9°C 8%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
21%
11°C
32%
12°C
29%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 32%
12°C 29%
10°C 21%
9°C 8%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
21%
11°C
32%
12°C
29%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF drive trader consensus toward mild highs of 10–12°C in Paris on March 27, with 11°C leading at 31.5% due to a slight cooling bias in the latest 00Z runs amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Western Europe. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 10–11°C, versus transient southerly winds and clearer skies favoring 12°C; 13°C+ odds remain slim given subdued instability. Historical March averages hover around 12°C, but current neutral ENSO conditions and jet stream positioning introduce modest uncertainty, with final hourly observations resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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