Recent forecasts from Brazil's INMET and international models like ECMWF project São Paulo's highest temperature on March 26 at 29-30°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 39% implied probability for 30°C and 26% for 29°C amid typical late-March autumn warmth averaging 27°C historically. A building high-pressure ridge is suppressing cloud cover and boosting daytime heating, while sea surface temperatures influenced by fading El Niño sustain above-normal heat potential. Yesterday's 31°C high sets a recent precedent, but afternoon thunderstorms pose downside risk, tempering odds for 31°C (19.5%) or higher. Traders eye today's 6 PM update for refined guidance on convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 26. März?
30°C 39%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
$80,519 Vol.
$80,519 Vol.
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
39%
31°C
20%
32°C oder höher
7%
30°C 39%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
$80,519 Vol.
$80,519 Vol.
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
39%
31°C
20%
32°C oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Brazil's INMET and international models like ECMWF project São Paulo's highest temperature on March 26 at 29-30°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 39% implied probability for 30°C and 26% for 29°C amid typical late-March autumn warmth averaging 27°C historically. A building high-pressure ridge is suppressing cloud cover and boosting daytime heating, while sea surface temperatures influenced by fading El Niño sustain above-normal heat potential. Yesterday's 31°C high sets a recent precedent, but afternoon thunderstorms pose downside risk, tempering odds for 31°C (19.5%) or higher. Traders eye today's 6 PM update for refined guidance on convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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