Trader consensus centers on a 33°C high temperature in Singapore on March 25 (43% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore projecting peak afternoon heat in the low-to-mid 30s amid persistent El Niño effects that have fueled record March highs above 36°C earlier this month. Scientific factors include the city's urban heat island amplification, suppressed rainfall from the southwest monsoon transition, and weak winds limiting cooling sea breezes, elevating 34°C (25.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) as close runners-up. Recent NEA observations of 35°C+ on March 22-23 signal upside potential, though isolated thundery showers may temper extremes, aligning odds with historical March averages near 32°C and current model ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Singapur am 25. März?
33°C 43%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
35°C 7%
26°C oder darunter
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
23%
33°C
43%
34°C
26%
35°C
7%
36°C oder höher
2%
33°C 43%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
35°C 7%
26°C oder darunter
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
23%
33°C
43%
34°C
26%
35°C
7%
36°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 33°C high temperature in Singapore on March 25 (43% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore projecting peak afternoon heat in the low-to-mid 30s amid persistent El Niño effects that have fueled record March highs above 36°C earlier this month. Scientific factors include the city's urban heat island amplification, suppressed rainfall from the southwest monsoon transition, and weak winds limiting cooling sea breezes, elevating 34°C (25.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) as close runners-up. Recent NEA observations of 35°C+ on March 22-23 signal upside potential, though isolated thundery showers may temper extremes, aligning odds with historical March averages near 32°C and current model ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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