Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 86°F in Austin on March 29, fueled by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies, which clusters trader odds tightly around 80-91°F bins at 16-17% each. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show convergence on 84-89°F peaks, differentiating leaders via minor variances in afternoon boundary layer mixing and southerly wind advection of Gulf moisture. March climatology averages 75°F highs, but this anomalously warm setup—echoing recent Texas heat—elevates upper bins, with extremes below 78°F or above 91°F dismissed at 2% amid high short-term predictability. Traders eye final 18Z model runs for resolution tweaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on March 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
16%
92°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
16%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 86°F in Austin on March 29, fueled by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies, which clusters trader odds tightly around 80-91°F bins at 16-17% each. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show convergence on 84-89°F peaks, differentiating leaders via minor variances in afternoon boundary layer mixing and southerly wind advection of Gulf moisture. March climatology averages 75°F highs, but this anomalously warm setup—echoing recent Texas heat—elevates upper bins, with extremes below 78°F or above 91°F dismissed at 2% amid high short-term predictability. Traders eye final 18Z model runs for resolution tweaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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