Latest Central Weather Administration forecasts project Taipei's highest temperature on March 29 at 23-25°C amid a passing cold front delivering northeasterly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers, which have cooled market-implied odds from prior warmer projections and elevated the 22°C or below outcome to 27.5% on risks of intensified cooling. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly, with some indicating frontal weakening that could push peaks to 26-27°C—supported by 20% and 16.5% probabilities there—while historical March highs average 22.5°C with 3-5°C variability from such systems. Trader sentiment reflects this short-range uncertainty, with new hourly updates expected throughout the day to sharpen consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
22°C or below 27%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
27%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
16%
26°C
19%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
3%
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
22°C or below 27%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
27%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
16%
26°C
19%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Central Weather Administration forecasts project Taipei's highest temperature on March 29 at 23-25°C amid a passing cold front delivering northeasterly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers, which have cooled market-implied odds from prior warmer projections and elevated the 22°C or below outcome to 27.5% on risks of intensified cooling. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly, with some indicating frontal weakening that could push peaks to 26-27°C—supported by 20% and 16.5% probabilities there—while historical March highs average 22.5°C with 3-5°C variability from such systems. Trader sentiment reflects this short-range uncertainty, with new hourly updates expected throughout the day to sharpen consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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