Traders' consensus favors a high of 10°C or higher in Toronto on March 29 at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and above-seasonal temperatures around 9-12°C. Recent developments include a warming trend over the past week, with Toronto highs reaching 11°C on March 26 amid weakening northerly winds, supported by GFS and GEM model ensembles converging on similar outcomes despite some ECMWF variability toward 8°C. March climatology typically sees highs of 7-10°C, but current jet stream positioning boosts intensification potential; watch ECCC's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
10°C or higher 49%
9°C 22%
8°C 12%
7°C 11%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
2%
4°C
3%
5°C
4%
6°C
7%
7°C
11%
8°C
12%
9°C
22%
10°C or higher
49%
10°C or higher 49%
9°C 22%
8°C 12%
7°C 11%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
2%
4°C
3%
5°C
4%
6°C
7%
7°C
11%
8°C
12%
9°C
22%
10°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' consensus favors a high of 10°C or higher in Toronto on March 29 at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and above-seasonal temperatures around 9-12°C. Recent developments include a warming trend over the past week, with Toronto highs reaching 11°C on March 26 amid weakening northerly winds, supported by GFS and GEM model ensembles converging on similar outcomes despite some ECMWF variability toward 8°C. March climatology typically sees highs of 7-10°C, but current jet stream positioning boosts intensification potential; watch ECCC's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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