Trader consensus on Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29 centers tightly around 19°C (20%) through 21°C (18.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting late-teens to low-20s Celsius amid typical late-March spring variability. Latest 00Z model runs show 19°C as the modal outcome due to anticipated partial cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating in the city's heat-trapping basin topography, while southerly winds temper colder outliers below 17°C. Diurnal maximums depend on afternoon insolation versus urban heat island effects and potential haze; subtle 1-2°C spreads arise from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing. Hourly updates from official stations expected midday could resolve ambiguities as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
19°C 20%
21°C 20%
20°C 19%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
12%
18°C
14%
19°C
20%
20°C
19%
21°C
20%
22°C
14%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 20%
21°C 20%
20°C 19%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
12%
18°C
14%
19°C
20%
20°C
19%
21°C
20%
22°C
14%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Chongqing's highest temperature on March 29 centers tightly around 19°C (20%) through 21°C (18.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting late-teens to low-20s Celsius amid typical late-March spring variability. Latest 00Z model runs show 19°C as the modal outcome due to anticipated partial cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating in the city's heat-trapping basin topography, while southerly winds temper colder outliers below 17°C. Diurnal maximums depend on afternoon insolation versus urban heat island effects and potential haze; subtle 1-2°C spreads arise from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing. Hourly updates from official stations expected midday could resolve ambiguities as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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