Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Miami of 78-79°F (34%) or 76-77°F (26%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing peaks in the upper 70s under partly cloudy conditions influenced by a lingering weak frontal boundary and moderating easterly winds. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs released within the past 24 hours align on this range, with minor divergences stemming from sea breeze timing and potential afternoon showers that could cap highs by 1-2°F; climatological late March averages hover near 80°F, but neutral ENSO conditions and recent cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures support the tempered outlook. Key uncertainty lies in diurnal cloud evolution, with NWS updates expected by midday March 29 to refine the peak hour reading at official stations like Miami International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Miami on March 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 29?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
82-83°F 14%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
82-83°F 14%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Miami of 78-79°F (34%) or 76-77°F (26%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing peaks in the upper 70s under partly cloudy conditions influenced by a lingering weak frontal boundary and moderating easterly winds. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs released within the past 24 hours align on this range, with minor divergences stemming from sea breeze timing and potential afternoon showers that could cap highs by 1-2°F; climatological late March averages hover near 80°F, but neutral ENSO conditions and recent cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures support the tempered outlook. Key uncertainty lies in diurnal cloud evolution, with NWS updates expected by midday March 29 to refine the peak hour reading at official stations like Miami International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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