Trader sentiment on Denver's March 29 high temperature hinges on divergent long-range forecast models, with NOAA's GFS ensemble leaning toward 84°F or higher at 25.5% implied odds, driven by a projected upper-level ridge amplifying downslope warming from the Rockies. Competing 17% clusters around 72-81°F reflect ECMWF's cooler bias and historical March volatility, where average highs hover near 57°F but warm anomalies occur 20-30% of the time under high-pressure setups. Key differentiators include 500-millibar geopotential height forecasts—higher ridges boost adiabatic compression for 80°F+—and soil moisture deficits enhancing heat retention, though cirrus cloud cover in Euro runs caps upside potential; watch Friday's 12z updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on March 29?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
84°F or higher 18%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 17.0%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
25%
84°F or higher 18%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 17.0%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Denver's March 29 high temperature hinges on divergent long-range forecast models, with NOAA's GFS ensemble leaning toward 84°F or higher at 25.5% implied odds, driven by a projected upper-level ridge amplifying downslope warming from the Rockies. Competing 17% clusters around 72-81°F reflect ECMWF's cooler bias and historical March volatility, where average highs hover near 57°F but warm anomalies occur 20-30% of the time under high-pressure setups. Key differentiators include 500-millibar geopotential height forecasts—higher ridges boost adiabatic compression for 80°F+—and soil moisture deficits enhancing heat retention, though cirrus cloud cover in Euro runs caps upside potential; watch Friday's 12z updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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