Trader sentiment clusters around 49-55°F for Denver's March 27 high temperature, driven by NOAA's National Weather Service forecast consensus of 52-55°F amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Rockies, tempered by lingering Pacific moisture increasing cloud cover probabilities to 40-60%. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread—means near 53°F—but diverge on boundary layer mixing: fuller insolation favors 54-55°F (23.5% implied odds), while diurnally trapped cooler air under stratus decks boosts 49°F or below (18.5%). Historical March late-afternoon peaks average 56°F at DEN airport, but today's southerly winds at 10-15 mph and 30% precip risk differentiate outcomes, with 12z model updates pivotal for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
54-55°F 25%
49°F or below 19%
50-51°F 18%
52-53°F 18%
49°F or below
19%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 25%
49°F or below 19%
50-51°F 18%
52-53°F 18%
49°F or below
19%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 49-55°F for Denver's March 27 high temperature, driven by NOAA's National Weather Service forecast consensus of 52-55°F amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Rockies, tempered by lingering Pacific moisture increasing cloud cover probabilities to 40-60%. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread—means near 53°F—but diverge on boundary layer mixing: fuller insolation favors 54-55°F (23.5% implied odds), while diurnally trapped cooler air under stratus decks boosts 49°F or below (18.5%). Historical March late-afternoon peaks average 56°F at DEN airport, but today's southerly winds at 10-15 mph and 30% precip risk differentiate outcomes, with 12z model updates pivotal for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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