Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on March 28, with models like GFS and ECMWF converging on mid-70s peaks amid a ridge of high pressure building over Texas. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph are expected to advect warmer air from the Gulf, boosting highs into the 72-75°F range favored at 21% each, while any persistent cloud cover or earlier cold frontal influences could cap readings at 70-71°F (18.5%). Historical March averages hover near 74°F, but recent soundings show dry mid-levels limiting convective interference. New hourly guidance expected midday could sharpen the outlook as peak heating nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on March 28?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 28?
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
19%
80°F or higher
11%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
19%
80°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on March 28, with models like GFS and ECMWF converging on mid-70s peaks amid a ridge of high pressure building over Texas. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph are expected to advect warmer air from the Gulf, boosting highs into the 72-75°F range favored at 21% each, while any persistent cloud cover or earlier cold frontal influences could cap readings at 70-71°F (18.5%). Historical March averages hover near 74°F, but recent soundings show dry mid-levels limiting convective interference. New hourly guidance expected midday could sharpen the outlook as peak heating nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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