Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a March 29 high in Los Angeles of 76-77°F (25%) or 74-75°F (24%), driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models projecting peaks in the mid-70s°F under a building upper-level ridge and light onshore flow. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows tight clustering around 74-77°F, with minor divergences tied to the timing and depth of the persistent coastal marine layer, which could cap temperatures lower if it strengthens overnight. Recent 24-hour updates reflect slight warming trends from yesterday's runs, amid climatological March norms of 68-72°F; key differentiators include potential for clearer skies boosting 78°F+ odds (15.5%) versus thicker stratus favoring 72°F or below (19.5%+). Watch NWS evening outlooks for resolution-clarifying tweaks before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
70-71°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
10%
84°F or higher
5%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
70-71°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
10%
84°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a March 29 high in Los Angeles of 76-77°F (25%) or 74-75°F (24%), driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecast models projecting peaks in the mid-70s°F under a building upper-level ridge and light onshore flow. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows tight clustering around 74-77°F, with minor divergences tied to the timing and depth of the persistent coastal marine layer, which could cap temperatures lower if it strengthens overnight. Recent 24-hour updates reflect slight warming trends from yesterday's runs, amid climatological March norms of 68-72°F; key differentiators include potential for clearer skies boosting 78°F+ odds (15.5%) versus thicker stratus favoring 72°F or below (19.5%+). Watch NWS evening outlooks for resolution-clarifying tweaks before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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