Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 28 heavily favors 76-77°F at 26% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of 77°F and GFS model runs clustering around 76-79°F amid a building high-pressure ridge offshore. Close competition from cooler 72-73°F (19.5%) and warmer 80-81°F (19%) stems from model divergence: ECMWF leans cooler at 74°F due to persistent coastal marine layer and stratus clouds suppressing diurnal heating, while some GFS ensembles eye brief Santa Ana-like downslope warming pushing toward 80°F+. Historical late-March averages hover at 72°F, but drier subtropical air favors above-normal temps; key differentiator is morning cloud burn-off timing, with full clearing boosting highs by 3-5°F per observations. Upcoming 12z model updates could shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
67°F or below
10%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
10%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
67°F or below
10%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 28 heavily favors 76-77°F at 26% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of 77°F and GFS model runs clustering around 76-79°F amid a building high-pressure ridge offshore. Close competition from cooler 72-73°F (19.5%) and warmer 80-81°F (19%) stems from model divergence: ECMWF leans cooler at 74°F due to persistent coastal marine layer and stratus clouds suppressing diurnal heating, while some GFS ensembles eye brief Santa Ana-like downslope warming pushing toward 80°F+. Historical late-March averages hover at 72°F, but drier subtropical air favors above-normal temps; key differentiator is morning cloud burn-off timing, with full clearing boosting highs by 3-5°F per observations. Upcoming 12z model updates could shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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