Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 84-85°F (35%) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for Dallas's March 24 high temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center ensembles averaging mid-80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering adiabatic warming. Key differentiators include high-resolution HRRR model runs emphasizing boundary-layer stability and light southerly winds limiting peaks to 84-85°F, contrasted by ECMWF's drier air mass and stronger insolation potential pushing toward 86-87°F. Lower probabilities for 82°F or below stem from suppressed cloud cover forecasts, while extremes above 90°F recede with minimal convective risk per SPC outlooks; upcoming 12z model updates could sharpen this spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 24. März?
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 25%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
77°F oder niedriger
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
11%
90-91 °F
13%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F oder höher
1%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 25%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
77°F oder niedriger
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
11%
90-91 °F
13%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 84-85°F (35%) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for Dallas's March 24 high temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center ensembles averaging mid-80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering adiabatic warming. Key differentiators include high-resolution HRRR model runs emphasizing boundary-layer stability and light southerly winds limiting peaks to 84-85°F, contrasted by ECMWF's drier air mass and stronger insolation potential pushing toward 86-87°F. Lower probabilities for 82°F or below stem from suppressed cloud cover forecasts, while extremes above 90°F recede with minimal convective risk per SPC outlooks; upcoming 12z model updates could sharpen this spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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