Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Dallas high of 92-93°F (39%) or 94-95°F (27%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting a strong upper-level ridge over Texas, ushering in dry southerly winds and advection of Gulf moisture-mixed warmth from Mexico. Recent observations from DFW airport show overnight lows in the 60s°F with daytime temps already climbing into the upper 80s, aligning with this heat dome pattern amid an unusually warm early spring. Historical March 22 highs average 68°F but have spiked to 97°F during similar ridging events; however, ensemble spreads indicate 2-3°F uncertainty, positioning 90-91°F (18%) as a conservative tail while extremes like 98°F+ remain low-odds outliers pending afternoon soundings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 22. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 22. März?
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 18.1%
96-97°F 6%
$70,764 Vol.
$70,764 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
30-31°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
6%
98°F oder höher
2%
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 18.1%
96-97°F 6%
$70,764 Vol.
$70,764 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
30-31°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
6%
98°F oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Dallas high of 92-93°F (39%) or 94-95°F (27%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting a strong upper-level ridge over Texas, ushering in dry southerly winds and advection of Gulf moisture-mixed warmth from Mexico. Recent observations from DFW airport show overnight lows in the 60s°F with daytime temps already climbing into the upper 80s, aligning with this heat dome pattern amid an unusually warm early spring. Historical March 22 highs average 68°F but have spiked to 97°F during similar ridging events; however, ensemble spreads indicate 2-3°F uncertainty, positioning 90-91°F (18%) as a conservative tail while extremes like 98°F+ remain low-odds outliers pending afternoon soundings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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