Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converge on a Seoul high temperature near 16°C on March 28, fueling the tight trader consensus with 19% odds on 18°C or higher, 18% on 16°C, and similar probabilities for 14-17°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—clearer skies could boost peaks to 17-18°C via enhanced diurnal warming, while increased overcast from an approaching trough favors 14-15°C. Recent mild air masses from the south have trended warmer than the late-March climatological average of 13°C, but lingering northerly gusts and urban heat island effects add uncertainty, with model spreads of ±2°C keeping outcomes closely matched.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
18°C or higher 19%
16°C 18%
15°C 17%
14°C 16%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
16%
18°C or higher
19%
18°C or higher 19%
16°C 18%
15°C 17%
14°C 16%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
16%
18°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converge on a Seoul high temperature near 16°C on March 28, fueling the tight trader consensus with 19% odds on 18°C or higher, 18% on 16°C, and similar probabilities for 14-17°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—clearer skies could boost peaks to 17-18°C via enhanced diurnal warming, while increased overcast from an approaching trough favors 14-15°C. Recent mild air masses from the south have trended warmer than the late-March climatological average of 13°C, but lingering northerly gusts and urban heat island effects add uncertainty, with model spreads of ±2°C keeping outcomes closely matched.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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