Recent ensemble forecasts from the European ECMWF and Chinese Meteorological Administration models cluster around 19-20°C for Chongqing's March 28 high, fueling the tight contest among those outcomes at 17-27% implied probabilities, as traders weigh diurnal heating in the city's humid subtropical basin amplified by urban heat island effects. Historical data shows late-March averages near 18°C, but southerly winds and reduced cloud cover from a passing high-pressure ridge introduce upside risk toward 21-22°C, per GFS projections, while potential afternoon showers cap it at 17-18°C in cooler ICON runs. Model spread of ±2°C reflects typical spring uncertainty in Yangtze Valley advection patterns, with final observations from official stations resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
19°C 27%
20°C 20%
21°C 17%
22°C 15%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
13%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 27%
20°C 20%
21°C 17%
22°C 15%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
13%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European ECMWF and Chinese Meteorological Administration models cluster around 19-20°C for Chongqing's March 28 high, fueling the tight contest among those outcomes at 17-27% implied probabilities, as traders weigh diurnal heating in the city's humid subtropical basin amplified by urban heat island effects. Historical data shows late-March averages near 18°C, but southerly winds and reduced cloud cover from a passing high-pressure ridge introduce upside risk toward 21-22°C, per GFS projections, while potential afternoon showers cap it at 17-18°C in cooler ICON runs. Model spread of ±2°C reflects typical spring uncertainty in Yangtze Valley advection patterns, with final observations from official stations resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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