Recent forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Wuhan's March 28 high temperature peaking at 20-22°C under mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover, driving trader sentiment toward 22°C or higher at 34.5% and clustering probabilities around 20-21°C. Official projections from China's Meteorological Administration align at about 21°C, consistent with late-March climatology (historical averages 18-20°C) but elevated by persistent warm advection. High uncertainty stems from model spread—diurnal solar heating versus potential overnight cooling fronts—dispersing odds across 18-22°C, with lower outcomes like 15°C reflecting downside risks from increased cloudiness or northerly gusts. Traders eye final short-range updates for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 35%
21°C 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 15%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
13%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
14%
19°C
15%
20°C
19%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
35%
22°C or higher 35%
21°C 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 15%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
13%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
14%
19°C
15%
20°C
19%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Wuhan's March 28 high temperature peaking at 20-22°C under mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover, driving trader sentiment toward 22°C or higher at 34.5% and clustering probabilities around 20-21°C. Official projections from China's Meteorological Administration align at about 21°C, consistent with late-March climatology (historical averages 18-20°C) but elevated by persistent warm advection. High uncertainty stems from model spread—diurnal solar heating versus potential overnight cooling fronts—dispersing odds across 18-22°C, with lower outcomes like 15°C reflecting downside risks from increased cloudiness or northerly gusts. Traders eye final short-range updates for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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