Trader sentiment tilts modestly toward 25°C or higher at 25% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating Wuhan's March 27 peak near 23-25°C under southerly winds and high shortwave radiation. Closely matched 22°C (22%) and 23°C (20%) odds stem from model divergence over afternoon cloudiness from an approaching frontal boundary, tempering extremes. Historical late-March highs average 18-20°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent above-normal anomalies—fueled by persistent ridging—bolster warmer outcomes. Key differentiator: low-level moisture advection could cap highs below 24°C, with final resolution via official station observations amid typical 2-3°C short-range uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
25°C or higher 25%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
18%
22°C
23%
23°C
20%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
25%
25°C or higher 25%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
18%
22°C
23%
23°C
20%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment tilts modestly toward 25°C or higher at 25% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating Wuhan's March 27 peak near 23-25°C under southerly winds and high shortwave radiation. Closely matched 22°C (22%) and 23°C (20%) odds stem from model divergence over afternoon cloudiness from an approaching frontal boundary, tempering extremes. Historical late-March highs average 18-20°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent above-normal anomalies—fueled by persistent ridging—bolster warmer outcomes. Key differentiator: low-level moisture advection could cap highs below 24°C, with final resolution via official station observations amid typical 2-3°C short-range uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen